Bliss’s September book picks: business, psychology and fiction
From Clayton Christensen to Daniel Kahneman and Friedrich Dürrenmatt: three reads to take us through September, reflecting on innovation, quality of judgement and responsibility. Because a decision can appear correct and still lead to the wrong consequence.
di Luca MalettaScritto il Aggiornato il 5 min di lettura
September has arrived and so, just as it came, summer (El Niño permitting) is getting ready to leave us.
The traffic returns, the diaries fill up. Projects restart and every question left open in July demands an answer. Within days, everything will be urgent. And when everything seems urgent, telling apart what really matters is the hardest thing.
Time will grow thinner, and it may even happen that reading, too, is deprived of opportunities.
For many, at least. Let’s hope not for us.
In August we chose three books devoted to building, decisions and rejection; this month we pick up exactly where we left off: with the responsibilities that accompany every choice.
Once again, we have selected three very different reads. The first, ever more relevant today because of artificial intelligence, explains why the best companies can recognise the future too late. The second shows how variable human judgement can be. The third confronts a man with the consequences of his own career: a trial of oneself, the kind each of us should perhaps put ourselves through at least once.
Three books linked by the same question: what is a correct decision worth if it leads to the wrong consequence?
Clayton M. Christensen · FrancoAngeli
When companies fail, it is rarely because they stopped listening to and following the market. Far more often, in fact, it is the opposite. They keep serving their best customers, invest in the most profitable products and allocate resources to the opportunities backed by data.
Clayton Christensen starts from this paradox. The very practices that built a company’s success can become the reason that same company recognises change too late.
Disruptive innovations first appear as lower-performing alternatives aimed at small, unprofitable markets. To an established organisation they look like negligible investments. Over time, however, they improve, win new customers and redefine the market. By the time they are big enough to deserve leaders’ attention, the room to react has already narrowed.
Through the analysis of different companies and industries, Christensen shows how hard it is to invest in something the present still advises against. The new Italian edition, published by FrancoAngeli, also includes a foreword by Marc Benioff, CEO and co-founder of Salesforce.
Why we recommend it: it explains how a company can make one correct decision after another and still arrive at the wrong choice. For anyone leading a business, it is one of the most important paradoxes to understand. An absolute must-have this September.
Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony and Cass R. Sunstein · UTET
Two professionals receive the same information and reach different conclusions. The same person, asked to assess the same case at two different moments, may change their judgement even though the facts have not changed.
For Kahneman, Sibony and Sustein, this variability is called noise.
In this book, the three researchers examine the phenomenon in medical diagnoses, court rulings, recruitment, forecasts and business decisions. Noise runs through every context in which someone has to form a judgement, even when experience and expertise ought to guarantee consistency.
For a board, all of this is central. Facts, in themselves, do not exist. An important decision can depend on the order in which information is presented, the perceived authority of whoever speaks first or the moment at which the discussion takes place. Experience helps, and at the same time it can make it harder to notice one’s own inconsistency.
The book proposes a discipline of judgement built on criteria defined in advance, independent assessments and processes that stop the first opinion voiced from steering all the others. It is the same principle that makes Executive Advisory valuable: bringing an independent perspective to the table before consensus renders the alternatives invisible.
We recommend it because: a decision can be reasonable and still produce different results each time it is entrusted to different people. Noise shows how much this variability costs and how to begin reducing it. Within ourselves as much as in our relationships with others.
Friedrich Dürrenmatt · Adelphi
Alfredo Traps is a travelling salesman. When his car breaks down, he is put up at the villa of an elderly retired judge. The evening seems to promise a good dinner, fine wines and a few hours of conversation.
The host and his friends, however, have an unusual pastime. They re-enact famous trials, taking turns as judge, prosecutor, defence lawyer and executioner. All they lack is a defendant.
Traps agrees to take part. After all, he is convinced his conscience is clear.
As dinner goes on, the game begins to change shape. Episodes from his career are reconstructed, connected and interpreted. Promotions, ambitions and coincidences gradually form an accusation that Traps had always avoided levelling against himself. In just 87 pages, Dürrenmatt turns a car breakdown into a trial of individual responsibility.
The most unsettling point of the story concerns the gap between what is permitted and what we are responsible for. Traps has always judged his own conduct by the rules of the world he lives in. That dinner imposes a different criterion on him: to look at what his choices have produced, yes, but in others.
Why we recommend it: those in positions of responsibility are judged also for the consequences they chose to ignore. Dürrenmatt tells this in fewer than a hundred pages: ideal for a quick but intense read.