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The longest-serving government: how stability changes the perception of risk

The Meloni government is about to become the longest-serving in the history of the Republic. The record raises a question that also concerns boards and companies: how much value does continuity create when long-term decisions have to be made?

The average lifespan of an Italian government is just over a year.
Since 1946, in fact, 68 governments have come and gone. Many of them lasted only a few months.

And yet tomorrow something remarkable will happen in the history of the Republic: the Meloni government will surpass the 1,412 days of Berlusconi II and become the longest-serving government in our country’s history. The milestone is expected on 4 September 2026.

Whatever one thinks of Meloni and this government, the numbers matter, and this record prompts an interesting reflection that concerns not only countries but every decision-making system: does stability, on its own, create value?

Because continuity has an effect on investors, businesses and institutions: at least on the way they read risk.
And for better or worse, this government has shown it.

Let us look together at what Italy’s recent political stability has brought, and what it can teach every board.

Meloni government · 1,413 days on 4 September 2026 Other governments of the Republic
Durata dei governi della Repubblica italiana, in giorni Il governo Meloni è primo con 1.413 giorni al 4 settembre 2026, davanti a Berlusconi II con 1.412 e Berlusconi IV con 1.287. Seguono Craxi I, Renzi, Prodi I e tutti gli altri in ordine decrescente fino a circa 360 giorni. 0 500 1.000 1.500 Meloni: 1.413 giorni Meloni Berlusconi II: 1.412 giorni Berlusconi II Berlusconi IV: 1.287 giorni Berlusconi IV Craxi I: 1.058 giorni Craxi I Renzi: 1.024 giorni Renzi Prodi I: 876 giorni Prodi I Moro III: 832 giorni Moro III De Gasperi VII: 709 giorni De Gasperi VII Segni I: 675 giorni Segni I Prodi II: 618 giorni Prodi II Andreotti VI: 615 giorni Andreotti VI De Gasperi V: 601 giorni De Gasperi V Fanfani III: 558 giorni Fanfani III Moro II: 547 giorni Moro II De Gasperi VI: 540 giorni De Gasperi VI Andreotti III: 538 giorni Andreotti III Colombo: 529 giorni Colombo Draghi: 518 giorni Draghi Conte II: 511 giorni Conte II Scelba: 496 giorni Scelba Gentiloni: 469 giorni Gentiloni Fanfani IV: 448 giorni Fanfani IV Conte I: 445 giorni Conte I D’Alema I: 421 giorni D’Alema I Moro IV: 397 giorni Moro IV Spadolini I: 386 giorni Spadolini I De Mita: 384 giorni De Mita Monti: 382 giorni Monti Amato II: 381 giorni Amato II Zoli: 380 giorni Zoli Andreotti VII: 376 giorni Andreotti VII Berlusconi III: 365 giorni Berlusconi III Segni II: 363 giorni Segni II

Duration in days since taking office.

Stability and results: what the data say

Political sentiment is one thing, but the data are another. And the data tell us that in the same years in which Italy’s political continuity increased, some indicators of the country’s international perception improved.
Granted, the causes are many and include public finances, monetary policy, the European context, reforms and economic performance. Within this picture, however, the rating agencies have also explicitly cited greater political stability. So, in plain terms: international investors have welcomed the country’s stability.

In November 2025 Moody’s raised Italy’s sovereign rating from Baa3 to Baa2, its first upgrade in 23 years. Reuters linked the improved perception of the country to fiscal discipline, reforms and (indeed) consolidated political stability.

Fitch had also improved Italy’s outlook, citing fiscal performance, compliance with the European framework and political stability (Reuters).

The bond market, too, now paints a very different picture from the start of the legislature. The BTP-Bund spread, which hovered around 220 basis points in 2022, was moving around 80 in August 2026. ANSA recorded 80.1 points on 26 August 2026. A figure that sums up a shift in how risk in Italy is perceived.

10-year BTP-Bund spread, in basis points

Andamento dello spread BTP-Bund dal 2022 al 2026 Lo spread scende da 251 punti base di settembre 2022 a 59 punti di gennaio 2026, per poi risalire oltre 90 a marzo 2026 e assestarsi a 83 punti il 31 agosto 2026. 0 50 100 150 200 250 2023 2024 2025 2026 insediamento upgrade Moody’s sett 2022: 251 punti base 251 ott 2023: 200 punti base 200 mar 2024: 126 punti base 126 ott 2024: 117 punti base 117 giu 2025: 99 punti base 99 dic 2025: 69 punti base 69 gen 2026: 59 punti base 59 mar 2026: 92 punti base 92 31 ago 2026: 83 punti base 83

Point values recorded on the dates indicated, not monthly averages. Sources: MEF, ANSA, Deutsche Bank, Il Sole 24 Ore, Borsa Italiana.

What an investor buys when buying stability

Above all, an investor buys a time horizon. If I am to invest 500 million in a plant meant to stand for twenty years, I want to be able to estimate who decides, which rules govern the system, how much they can change and how recognisable the context will remain in which the project must reach full operation.

No investor asks for certainty. Legibility is enough.

A system in which counterparts change very rapidly generates an uncertainty cost. That cost feeds into expectations, required returns and capital allocation decisions.

That is why, even though for decades Italy managed to get by despite marked political discontinuity, investors’ view was far less optimistic. A generational turning point.

Stability is not just a political weapon

The same problem exists inside any organisation. A company may have an excellent CEO, a brilliant strategy and a strong brand. But if the CEO, CMO, positioning, agency and priorities change every eighteen months, the organisation still pays a cost. More often than not, an invisible one.

That cost includes lost time, strategies abandoned before they could take effect, dispersed expertise, suppliers to be realigned, a confused market and people who start reading every new direction as provisional.

Useful continuity means keeping the direction recognisable, while leaving the organisation free to adjust tools, people and tactical choices.

Financial investors, employees, commercial partners and clients form expectations when they know who decides, by what criteria and within what horizon. This legibility is one of the most tangible effects of governance.
It is the same principle behind Executive Advisory: keeping the direction legible while decisions, investments and scenarios keep changing.

Whether or not one is a fan of Meloni’s record, it is undeniable that Italy is currently offering us a case that is rare in its history. Only time will tell how much political continuity will have affected the country’s performance. The question, however, is already useful for any board.

Because there is always value in stability.
If nothing else, in the outward image it gives of one’s work.

Domande frequenti

Does political stability really make a country more attractive to investors?

It can help, especially when it makes counterparts, policies and the decision-making horizon more predictable. Investors, however, weigh a much broader set of factors: public finances, growth, institutions, regulation, productivity and the ability to honour commitments. Political stability reduces one component of uncertainty, but it acquires economic value when it is accompanied by the quality of decisions.

Can too much stability become a problem for an organisation?

Yes, when continuity means stagnation. A stable CEO or management team can accumulate knowledge, make the direction legible and allow strategies to deliver results over time. If, however, permanence reduces debate, slows the renewal of ideas or protects decisions that ought to be corrected, the same advantage can turn into inertia.

What can a corporate board learn from a government’s stability?

That predictability has a value of its own. Employees, investors, clients and partners need to understand who decides, by what criteria, and which direction will hold long enough to guide their own choices. Constantly changing leadership, priorities, positioning or organisation, by contrast, raises the cost of uncertainty. It is one of the principles behind Bliss’s work in its Brand Governance and Executive Advisory programmes: building systems in which strategic direction survives the constant turnover of people and initiatives. Useful stability does not mean leaving everything unchanged, but making recognisable what must continue while the rest evolves.

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